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Frozen conflicts in the Post-Post-Soviet Space - Developments, Challenges and Perspectives

Study Course Description

Course Description Statuss:Approved
Course Description Version:6.00
Study Course Accepted:02.02.2024 12:30:50
Study Course Information
Course Code:PZK_173LQF level:Level 7
Credit Points:2.00ECTS:3.00
Branch of Science:PoliticsTarget Audience:Political Science
Study Course Supervisor
Course Supervisor:Mārtiņš Vargulis
Study Course Implementer
Structural Unit:Faculty of Social Sciences
The Head of Structural Unit:
Contacts:Dzirciema street 16, Rīga, szfatrsu[pnkts]lv
Study Course Planning
Full-Time - Semester No.1
Lectures (count)6Lecture Length (academic hours)2Total Contact Hours of Lectures12
Classes (count)4Class Length (academic hours)2Total Contact Hours of Classes8
Total Contact Hours20
Part-Time - Semester No.1
Lectures (count)4Lecture Length (academic hours)2Total Contact Hours of Lectures8
Classes (count)2Class Length (academic hours)2Total Contact Hours of Classes4
Total Contact Hours12
Study course description
Preliminary Knowledge:
Overall knowledge of the development of Russia's foreign and security policy, as well as the history, challenges and development of the post-post-Soviet space. It is important for students to have a general understanding of the events of the frozen conflict in the post-post-Soviet space and their significance in the wider context of international relations.
Objective:
To provide an in-depth understanding of the development and dynamics of frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet space, Russia's interests in the context of these conflicts, as well as to promote the analysis of potential future conflicts. To enhance the capacity of comparative analysis by studying and understanding the linkages/ differences between a number of frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet space. To provide an in-depth insight of how Russia's position in the international arena and the role of external factors has influenced the development of the post-post-Soviet space.
Topic Layout (Full-Time)
No.TopicType of ImplementationNumberVenue
1International actors in the post-post-Soviet space: historical developments, dynamics, as well as the role of Russia's internal factorsLectures0.50auditorium
2The role of external factors in the implementation of Russia's activities in the post-post-Soviet spaceLectures0.50auditorium
3History of frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet spaceLectures0.50auditorium
4Transnistria: development, dynamics, Russia's positionLectures1.00auditorium
5Abkhazia and South Ossetia: development, determined factors, dynamics of Russia-Georgia relations, the role of NATOLectures1.00auditorium
6Crimea: legitimacy of annexation, Ukraine's role in Russia's perception, influence of the international community's reactionLectures0.50auditorium
7Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: players, interests, meaningLectures0.50auditorium
8Chechnya as an “internal frozen conflict” of RussiaLectures0.50auditorium
9The role and involvement of international organizations in resolving frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet spaceLectures0.50auditorium
10Frozen conflicts – if any, who's next? Differences, similarities, challengesLectures0.50auditorium
11Russia's positioning in the post-post-Soviet space. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.50auditorium
12The role of external factors in Russia's activities in the post-post-Soviet space. Literature discussion. Presentations of reports.Classes0.50auditorium
13Transnistria – military significance and political ambitions; the role of international organizations? Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.50auditorium
14Abkhazia and South Ossetia: the role of the EU, US, NATO in resolving the conflict. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.50auditorium
15Crimea – development, perspectives and the role of conflict in the context of Ukraine-NATO and Ukraine-EU integration. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.50auditorium
16Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: actors, interests, meaning. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.50auditorium
17International regulation and the role of organizations in resolving frozen conflicts: EU, OSCE, UN, NATO, etc. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.25auditorium
18Conflict as a guarantee of the legitimacy of the existing Russian regime: will there be a "next one"? Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.25auditorium
19The role of frozen conflicts in promoting Russia's military might. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.25auditorium
20The Baltic States – a chance to become the next "frozen conflict"? Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.25auditorium
Topic Layout (Part-Time)
No.TopicType of ImplementationNumberVenue
1International actors in the post-post-Soviet space: historical developments, dynamics, as well as the role of Russia's internal factorsLectures0.25auditorium
2The role of external factors in the implementation of Russia's activities in the post-post-Soviet spaceLectures0.25auditorium
3History of frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet spaceLectures0.25auditorium
4Transnistria: development, dynamics, Russia's positionLectures0.50auditorium
5Abkhazia and South Ossetia: development, determined factors, dynamics of Russia-Georgia relations, the role of NATOLectures0.25auditorium
6Crimea: legitimacy of annexation, Ukraine's role in Russia's perception, influence of the international community's reactionLectures0.50auditorium
7Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: players, interests, meaningLectures0.50auditorium
8Chechnya as an “internal frozen conflict” of RussiaLectures0.50auditorium
9The role and involvement of international organizations in resolving frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet spaceLectures0.50auditorium
10Frozen conflicts – if any, who's next? Differences, similarities, challengesLectures0.50auditorium
11Russia's positioning in the post-post-Soviet space. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
12The role of external factors in Russia's activities in the post-post-Soviet space. Literature discussion. Presentations of reports.Classes0.20auditorium
13Transnistria – military significance and political ambitions; the role of international organizations? Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
14Abkhazia and South Ossetia: the role of the EU, US, NATO in resolving the conflict. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
15Crimea – development, perspectives and the role of conflict in the context of Ukraine-NATO and Ukraine-EU integration. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
16Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: actors, interests, meaning. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20
17International regulation and the role of organizations in resolving frozen conflicts: EU, OSCE, UN, NATO, etc. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
18Conflict as a guarantee of the legitimacy of the existing Russian regime: will there be a "next one"? Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
19The role of frozen conflicts in promoting Russia's military might. Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
20The Baltic States – a chance to become the next "frozen conflict"? Literature discussion. Presentations of reportsClasses0.20auditorium
Assessment
Unaided Work:
During the module students will prepare for the seminars, read literature, write final paper and prepare a presentation. The aim of a seminar is to develop students' ability to argue and present their opinion in a consistent and logical manner; to promote activity; to test students’ knowledge of the topic and materials in question. The aim of the essays is to develop the ability to identify the key issue of the topic; to identify and evaluate alternative arguments and views; to offer an opinion, explaining and arguing why this particular opinion is better than any other. The report should compare all possible alternatives, considering all their strengths and weaknesses. Another goal is to develop skills to independently study the situation and the problem, give it an assessment and be able to find solutions.
Assessment Criteria:
Attendance – 10% Activity and preparedness during seminars – 30% Presentation and paper – 40% Final essay – 20%
Final Examination (Full-Time):Exam (Written)
Final Examination (Part-Time):Exam (Written)
Learning Outcomes
Knowledge:Students will demonstrate understanding of the development of frozen conflicts in the post-post-Soviet space, understanding both their history and factors that influenced their occurrence. Students will understand how Russia’s position in the international environment and the dynamics of relations with external factors (USA, NATO, EU, etc.) have affected Russia’s involvement in the escalation of conflicts.
Skills:Students will independently select and analyze literature sources related to the role, activities and dynamics of Russia in the post-post-Soviet space. As a result of the analysis of the performed independent work, students will critically evaluate the ideas expressed in the literature and discuss the interpretation of these ideas in the presentations to other colleagues.
Competencies:Students will evaluate and explain the impact of various factors on Russia’s approach to resolving frozen conflicts, as well as provide recommendations and generate new ideas about possible future scenarios of frozen conflicts and their impact on Russia’s role in the international system in professional, academic and business environments. These skills will be interdisciplinary – they will be used by students to assess and forecast any trends in Russia’s (and other countries’) external interactions in the short, medium- and long-term perspective.
Bibliography
No.Reference
Required Reading
1Andrew Radin, Clint Reach, Russian Views of the International Order, Rand Cooperation, 2017, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. Available from: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports…
2Julia Gurganus and Eugene Rumer, Russia’s Global Ambitions in Perspective, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, February 2019, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Available from: https://carnegieendowment.org/files/RumerGurganus_Perspecti…
3Darya B. Kazarinova, Vasilya B. Taisheva, Perceptions of Russia in the Global World. Does Russian Education Policy Work?, October 2019, Russian Foundation of Basic Research. Available from: https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/203…
4Givi Gigitashvili, Russia’s National Interests and Foreign Policy Preferences, November 2016, Latvian Institute of International Affairs. Available from: https://www.lai.lv/viedokli/russias-national-interests-and-…
5Tatiana Zakaurtseva, The Current Foreign Policy of Russia. Available from: http://133.50.171.227/coe21/publish/no16_1_ses/05_zakaurtse…
6Richard Sokolsky and Eugene Rumer, U.S.-Russian Relations in 2030, June 2020, Carnegie Endowment. Available from: https://carnegieendowment.org/files/SokolskyRumer_US-Russia…
7Julianne Smith and Adam Twardowski, The Future of U.S. – Russia Relations, January 2017. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep06297?seq=3#metadata_inf…
8Julianne Smith, The NATO-Russia Relationship. Defining Moment or Déjà Vu?, November 2018, Center For Strategic And Security Studies. Available from: https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/lega…
9Yuriy Davidov, Should Russia Join NATO?, 2020, NATO. Available from: https://www.nato.int/acad/fellow/98-00/davydov.pdf
10Dmitry Trenin, What Does Russia Want From the United States? April 2020, The Moscow Times. Available from: https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/04/17/what-does-russia-…
11Thomas de Waal, Nikolaus von Twickel, Beyond Frozen Conflict. Scenarios for the Separatist Disputes of Eastern Europe, 2020, CEPS, Brussels Rowman & Littlefield International, London. Available from: https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/beyond-frozen-conflict
12Markedonov Sergey, Goodbye Post-Soviet Space?, in: Evolution of Post-Soviet Space: Past, Present and Future: An Anthology. Moscow: NPMP RIAC, 2017
13Nikolay Silaev, William Hill, Iraklii Khintba, Russia Direct Brief #23, August 2015. Available from: https://russia-direct.org/catalog/product/russia-direct-bri…
14Gushin Aleksandr, Dankov Artem, Markedonov Sergey, Rekeda Sergey, Konflikty na postsovetskom prostranstve: perspektivy uregulirovaniya i rol’ Rossii, Working Paper, Russian International Affairs Council, 36, 2016
15De Waal Thomas, Uncertain territory. The strange life and curious sustainability of de facto states, New Eastern Europe, 2018. Available from: http://neweasterneurope.eu/2018/04/26/uncertain-territory-s…
16Alexander Dubowy, A Long Way Back from the End of History, Russia in Global Affairs. Available from: https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/articles/the-new-world-disorde…
17Anatol Gudim, Transnistria: Conflicts and Pragmatism of the Economy, Centre for Strategic Studies and Reforms. Available from: http://pdc.ceu.hu/archive/00003500/01/transnistria.pdf
18Dumitru Minzarari, Moscow-Dependent Moldovan Government Turns Blind Eye to Russian Military Activities in Transnistria, 2020, Jamestown Foundation. Available from: https://jamestown.org/program/moscow-dependent-moldovan-gov…
19Piotr Oleksy, A Certain Distance from Russia, 2020, Visegrad Insight. Available from: https://visegradinsight.eu/transnistria-new-conditions-cert…
20Ryan Cimmino, The Transnistrian Gambit: Russia in Moldova, 2019, originally published in the HIR Winter 2019 Issue. Available from: https://hir.harvard.edu/the-transnistrian-gambit-russia-in-…
21Michael Kofman, The August War, Ten Years On: A Retrospective on the Russo-Georgian War, 2018, War on the Rocks. Available from: https://warontherocks.com/2018/08/the-august-war-ten-years-…
22Russian Federation: Legal Aspects of War in Georgia, 2008. Available from: https://www.loc.gov/law/help/legal-aspects-of-war/russia-le…
23Robert E. Hamilton, August 2008 And Everything After. A Ten-Year Retrospective on the Russia-Georgia War, 2018, Foreign Policy research institute, Black sea strategy PaPers. Available from: https://www.fpri.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/final-bssp-…
24Jonathan Masters, Ukraine: “Conflict at the Crossroads of Europe and Russia”, 2020, Council on Foreign Relations. Available from: https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-crossroad…
25Taras Kuzio, Paul D’Anieri, Causes and Potential Solutions to the Ukraine and Russia Conflict, 2020, E-international relations. Available from: https://www.e-ir.info/2020/06/27/causes-and-potential-solut…
26Taras Kuzio, Vladimir Putin’s forever war against Ukraine continues, 2020, Atlantic Council. Available from: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/vladimir…
27Lauren Van Metre, Viola G. Gienger, Kathleen Kuehnast, The Ukraine-Russia Conflict Signals and Scenarios for the Broader Region, 2015, United States Institute of Peace. Available from: https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/189766/SR366-The-Ukraine-Russ…
28Crisis Group, The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: A Visual Explainer. Available from: https://www.crisisgroup.org/content/nagorno-karabakh-confli…
29Stephen Khan, How war in Nagorno-Karabakh could spread – and become a major problem for Europe, 2016, The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/how-war-in-nagorno-karabakh-cou…
30Shamkhal Abilov, The Consequences of the Nagorno–Karabakh War for Azerbaijan and the Undeniable Reality of Khojaly Massacre: A View from Azerbaijan, 2016. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/313412388_The_Cons…
31P. L. Dash, Chechnya: War Has No End, 2000, JSTOR. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/4409225
32Aristidis Tsatsos, Second Chechen War: Causes, Dynamics and Termination - A Civil War between Risk and Opportunity? 2014, Research Gate. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/314414780_Second_C…
33Kennelly, Kevin G., The role of NATO and the EU in resolving frozen conflicts, 2006, Institutional Archive of Naval Postgraduate School. Available from: https://calhoun.nps.edu/bitstream/handle/10945/2435/06Dec_K…
34Jakub Lachert, Post-Soviet Frozen Conflicts: A Challenge For European Security, 2019, Warsaw Institute. Available from: https://warsawinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Post…
35Pierre H. N. Martin, The EU’s Eastern Partnership, post–Soviet frozen conflicts and the war in Eastern Ukraine, 2017, Nouvelle Europe. Available from: http://www.nouvelle-europe.eu/en/eu-s-eastern-partnership-p…
36N. Nechayeva-Yuriychuk, The EU Position toward Frozen Conflicts Influence on Security and Energy Stability in Black Sea Region, 2010, Research Gate. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305700888_The_EU_P…
37Klaudia Báňaiová, Samuel Goda, Frozen ground: Role of the OSCE in protracted conflicts Recommendations for Slovak OSCE Chairmanship, 2018, Slovak Foreign Policy Association. Available from: http://www.sfpa.sk/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Frozen-ground….